NFL Week 14 Bet of the Week

FTN’s NFL Week 14 Bet of the Week is powered by our advanced model that simulates every game 10,000 times.

Find this week’s top edge, complete with true odds and expert analysis.

FTN’s NFL Bet of the Week: Chargers +130

The model projects a strong performance for the Chargers this week, giving them a 57.1% chance of winning the game despite coming in as the underdog.

This is a massive matchup for both sides, and our model gives the Chargers a real chance to pull off the upset. The stakes are huge: the Eagles could see their NFC East lead shrink if the Cowboys win Thursday, while the 8-4 Chargers are trying to stay afloat in a crowded AFC playoff race, sitting below 50% to make the postseason per DVOA. The Chargers are coming off a week in which they ran for 192 yards and now face an Eagles defense that just allowed over 200 rushing yards to the Bears. While I expect the Eagles to generate pressure on Justin Herbert, an effective run game could be enough to put the Chargers over the top.

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Final Thoughts

NFL betting is about finding small edges that add up over the course of the season. FTN’s Bet of the Week is just one example of the actionable insights our model delivers. Lock in this week’s best bet, and check back every week for the next free NFL best play.