In past years, the Minnesota Timberwolves were ripe for a letdown in a mismatch like this, favored by double digits on the road. But the Timberwolves are 12-3 outright this season when favored by multiple buckets, so the New Orleans Pelicans should be in trouble tonight.
My Timberwolves vs. Pelicans predictions and NBA picks lean into the biggest singular change in Minnesota’s approach as a hefty favorite this season.
AdvertisementAdvertisementAdvertisementTip comes at 8:00 p.m. ET on Tuesday, December 2.
Timberwolves vs Pelicans prediction
Timberwolves vs Pelicans best bet: Anthony Edwards Over 29.5 points (-115 at bet365)
Anthony Edwards long had a bad habit of not showing up against overmatched and/or shorthanded opponents. It regularly cost the Minnesota Timberwolves outright wins.
He always acknowledged this flaw, but his approach to fixing it always fell short of the court.
This preseason, Edwards said his goal was to set a new career high in scoring in each of these games that should be blowouts. He used to see these games as opportunities to get his teammates buckets, but that attitude would approach ambivalence, turning expected routs into existential disasters.
AdvertisementAdvertisementAdvertisementEdwards has cleared this prop in three of his five games this season with Minnesota favored by more than three buckets, the two exceptions coming in the middle of a shooting slump in mid-November.
Since then, Edwards has scored at least 31 points in each of his last five games, two of them coming against diminished opponents like the Pelicans.
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Timberwolves vs Pelicans same-game parlay
Edwards suffered through a mild shooting slump before his recent surge. Since snapping that slump, though, Edwards has cashed every leg of this same-game parlay in three straight games, falling short in the two just before that by only one assist.
AdvertisementAdvertisementAdvertisementTimberwolves vs Pelicans SGP
Anthony Edwards Over 29.5 points
Anthony Edwards Over 3.5 threes
Anthony Edwards Over 4.5 assists
Our "from downtown" SGP: Ant Man
As Edwards has surged, that has naturally taken the ball out of Julius Randle’s hands a bit, falling short of this prop in each of his last five games.
If you include the Over, this exact same-game parlay has cashed in each of Minnesota’s last two games, moments when the Timberwolves were favored against shorthanded opponents, just as they are tonight.
Timberwolves vs Pelicans SGP
Anthony Edwards Over 29.5 points
Anthony Edwards Over 3.5 threes
Anthony Edwards Over 4.5 assists
Julius Randle Under 22.5 points
Over 232.5
Timberwolves vs Pelicans odds
Spread: Timberwolves -12 | Pelicans +12
Moneyline: Timberwolves -650 | Pelicans +475
Over/Under: Over 232.5 | Under 232.5
Timberwolves vs Pelicans betting trend to know
Three of New Orleans’s last four games have gone Over their totals, as have Minnesota’s last two games. Find more NBA betting trends for Timberwolves vs. Pelicans.
AdvertisementAdvertisementAdvertisementHow to watch Timberwolves vs Pelicans
Location
Smoothie King Center, New Orleans, LA
Date
Tuesday, December 2, 2025
Tip-off
8:00 p.m. ET
TV
FDSN New Orleans X, GCSEN
Timberwolves vs Pelicans latest injuries
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